(Middle Ground)
Although John McCain won in SC, the establishment Conservatives resist declaring him the front runner. If he wins in Florida, if he's the last man standing, if he carries Republicans in a winner take all Primary, if there's no excuses left, the Right Wing will have no choice but to back him as the standard-bearer of a new pragmatic centrist Republican Party.
(Rocky Road)
It's true that the mantra in every Presidential election is "It's time for change;" but this time the electorate IS different. This time the outcry for change applies more to the Republican Party than to Democrats who are, afterall, happy with their candidates.
President Bush is hated by Democrats in Congress and tentatively supported by Republicans. He's battered relentlessly by a cadre of campaign surrogates, Left Wing interest groups, Media elites and extremist web sites like MoveOn, Daily Kos and a symphony of amateur blogging wannabees.
Congress has the lowest approval ratings in history but sadly, Democrats are likely to increase they're majority in the 2008 election cycle, which makes it imperative that Republicans keep the Presidency or risk becoming a very unhappy minority Party whipped into subservience by a power-mad dominatrix, Hillary and her enabling counter-part, Bill Clinton.
(The Finish Line)
If anyone doubts that the Clintons puposely injected race into the campaign to define Obama exclusively as the "black" candidate thus limiting his appeal to white and Latino voters, consider the results of the Nevada caucuses. Hillary won by a slim margin by taking women, Latinos and whites; blacks voted for Obama. He did win the delegate count by one and his campaign is asking for an investigation of voter supression "indirectly" by the Clinton campaign.
In SC Obama is expected to win. Clinton has implied his success is because of black support which proves he's not viable in the general electorate. If Hillary wins or loses in SC she's ahead of the game. If she wins...it's shows a broader appeal to win in November; if she loses, the Clintons told us the young fellow is a fine black candidate, however he can not repeat his victory in SC in States that do not have a predominant black demographic.
The Clintons diminished an Obama victory in SC...they played a reverse expectations game and Won. Obama will not be able to defeat the Clinton War Room in the Primary. Hillary Clinton will be their Nominee.
(A Dream Deferred)
Bill Clinton has been critisized for his attacks on Senator Obama by leaders in the Democratic Party; namely, Ted Kennedy, Rahm Emanuel and Howard Dean. The Clintons have always been good for themselves and bad for the Democratic Party. During his two terms, Bill Clinton's triangulation and support of unpopular policies caused losses for Democrats that essentially gave Congress to the Republican Party.
This year, Clinton's race baiting tactic may cause a permanent rift with the Black base. When Hillary runs in the general, this repugnant strategy against Barack Obama may likely cost her the reliable black vote and possibly any Independents and moderate Republicans who were supporting Obama, a unifying candidate who promises to fix this dysfunctional government and bring civil discourse back to politics in DC.
(Against all Odds)
Considering the damage that will be done to the Democrat Party this election cycle by the Clintons; plus the unpopularity of Hillary with a large segment of the electorate; then weigh the universal appeal of McCain by white men of every political stripe, it seems to me a victory in '08 is possible for the Republican Party with John McCain.
Although Conservatives would not be voting whole heartedly FOR John McCain, they are unified and energized AGAINST Hillary Clinton for President. In that case, the GOP could beat the odds and keep the Clintons out of the WH; which IS afterall, R-dream come true.
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2 comments:
Of course the "Right Wing" will have a choice; we can stay home in November. Why? Because a "pragmatic, centrist" Republican Party is precisely what we had before Barry Goldwater and the "Right Wing" stormed the Rockefelleroid gates in 1964, and as I recall my twentieth century American political history, that incarnation of the GOP didn't win an election without a five-star macguffin in over thirty years. A skein of futility that could be matched if Republican voters are gullible enough (or let their "royalist" instincts get the best of them again) to fall for such a transparent swindle from the man who is, after all, their self-avowed arch nemesis.
Understand, Kay, that I don't hold that sentiment about Mayor Giuliani. (I do about Huckles, but after losing to Sailor on his own turf he's just about done.) Fred was my first choice, Romney my second, but I could vote for Rudy with a reasonable chance of holding my lunch down.
But I will not, nor will I ever, vote for John McCain under any circumstances. N-E-V-E-R. In terms of policy and governance a McCain presidency would be barely, if at all, distinguishable from a Hillary presidency. Taxes would go up, the federal regulatory burden would explode, homeland security would be crippled, immigration amnesty would have an even bigger presidential advocate than the current White House occupant, we'd probably get the "fairness doctrine" reinstated as a companion to McCain-Feingold, and the federal bench would get a steady stream of David Souter clones. But, hey, at least "gridlock" would end, as President McCain would have no problems signing everything his "good friends" Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid sent to his Oval Office desk.
I don't *trust* McCain, Kay. No Republican should. He's screwed us too many times. If we want to put a dishonest liberal back in the White House, let it be a Democrat so that GOPers will have somebody to unify against. If that dishonest liberal has an "R" after his name, it'll tear this party apart beyond the capacity of even another Ronald Reagan to patch up.
That, of course, is why I still hold out hope that McCain will fall now that the "closed" primaries are beginning in earnest. All the more so since Fred's withdrawal will enable conservatives to unite behind Romney.
And, of course, if Mitt wins in Florida, if he's the last man standing, if he carries Republicans in a winner take all Primary, if there's no excuses left, the McCainiacs will have no choice but to back him as the preserver of Reaganian conservative Republican Party.
Right?
Jas:
You're one of those stubborn Conservatives that will never vote for McCain.
The truth is there's not enough of you left to influence McCain's candidacy.
All the sour grapes in the world can't disguise the truth...the Republican Party has to move to the center along with the electorate. Conservatives like you can not win an election on your own.
Sorry about Fred..he'll probably endorse McCain even though he was billed as the great white Conservative hope, he's backed McCain in 2000 and will do it again as did Rudy..they'll all get on board and unite the Party against Hillary Clinton. Beating Clinton is more important to me than the dominance of "staunch" Conservatives in the Republican Party.
Kay
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